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The behavior of total lightning activity in severe Florida thunderstorms

Published in:
Atmos. Res., Vol. 51, Nos. 3-4, July 1999, pp. 245-265.

Summary

The development of a new observational system called LISDAD (Lightning Imaging Sensor Demonstration and Display) has enabled a study of severe weather in central Florida. The total flash rates for storms verified to be severe are found to exceed 60 fpm, with some values reaching 500 fpm. Similar to earlier results for thunderstorm microbursts, the peak flash rate preceeds the severe weather at the ground by 5-20 min. A distinguishing feature of severe storms is the presence of lightning 'jumps' -- abrupt increases in flash rate in advance of the maximum rate for the storm. The systematic total lightning precursor to severe weather of all kinds -- wind, hail, tornadoes -- is interpreted in terms of the updraft that sows the seeds aloft for severe weather at the surface and simultaneously stimulates the ice microphysics that drives the intracloud lightning activity.
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Summary

The development of a new observational system called LISDAD (Lightning Imaging Sensor Demonstration and Display) has enabled a study of severe weather in central Florida. The total flash rates for storms verified to be severe are found to exceed 60 fpm, with some values reaching 500 fpm. Similar to earlier...

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Total lightning activity associated with tornadic storms

Published in:
11th Int. Conf. on Atmos. Electr., 7-11 June 1999, pp. 515-518.

Summary

Severe storms often have high flash rates (in excess of one flash per second) and are dominated by intracloud lightning activity. In addition to the extraordinary flash rates, there is a second distinguishing lightning characteristic of severe storms that seems to be important. When the total lightning history is examined, one finds sudden increases in the lightning rate, which we refer to as lightning "jumps", that precede the occurrence of severe weather by ten or more minutes. These jumps are typically 30-60 flashes/min, and are easily identified as anomalously large derivatives in the flash rate. This relationship is associated with updraft intensification and updraft strength is an important factor in storm severity (through the accumulation of condensate aloft and the stretching of vorticity). In several cases, evidence for diminishment of midlevel rotation and the descent of angular momentum from aloft is present prior to the appearance of the surface tornado. Based on our experience with severe and tornadic storms in Central Florida, we believe the total lightning may augment the more traditional use of NEXRAD radars and storm spotters. However, a more rigorous relation of these jumps to storm kinematics is needed if we are to apply total lightning in a decision tree that leads to improved warning lead times and decreased false alarm rates.
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Summary

Severe storms often have high flash rates (in excess of one flash per second) and are dominated by intracloud lightning activity. In addition to the extraordinary flash rates, there is a second distinguishing lightning characteristic of severe storms that seems to be important. When the total lightning history is examined...

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Comparisons between total lightning data, mesocyclone strength, and storm damage associated with the Florida tornado outbreak of February 23 1998

Published in:
19th Conf. on Severe Local Storms, 14-18 September 1998, pp. 681-684.

Summary

During the late evening and early morning hours of February 22/23 1998, the worst tornado outbreak in recorded history occurred over the peninsula of central Florida. Analysis of KMLB Doppler radar data indicated at least 9 supercells developed over the region, with 4 of the supercells producing tornadoes. These 4 tornadic supercells produced a total of 7 tornadoes, some of them on the ground for tens of miles (Fig. 1.). A total of 42 fatalities were reported with over 260 injured. Monetary losses totaled over 100 million dollars. During this severe weather outbreak, National Weather Service Melbourne, in collaboration with the National Aeronautics and Space Administration and the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, was collecting data from a unique lightning observing system called Lightning Imaging Sensor Data Applications Display (LISDAD). This system has the capability to combine radar reflectivity data collected from the KMLB WSR-88D, cloud to ground data collected from the National Lightning Detection Network, and total lightning data collected from NASA's Lightning Detection And Ranging (LDAR) system. The object of this study is to compare total lightning data collected from the LISDAD system to mesocyclone strength as observed from the KMLB WSR-88D. These data will then be compared to the times of tornadic winds.
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Summary

During the late evening and early morning hours of February 22/23 1998, the worst tornado outbreak in recorded history occurred over the peninsula of central Florida. Analysis of KMLB Doppler radar data indicated at least 9 supercells developed over the region, with 4 of the supercells producing tornadoes. These 4...

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Observations of total lightning associated with severe convection during the wet season in Central Florida

Published in:
19th Conf. on Severe Local Storms, 14-18 September 1998, 635-638.

Summary

This paper will discuss findings of a collaborative lightning research project between the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, the National Weather Service (NWS) office in Melbourne (MLB), Florida and the National Aeronautics and Space Administration. In August 1996, NWS MLB received a workstation which incorporates data from the KMLB WSR-88D, Cloud to Ground (CG) stroke data from the National Lightning Detection Network (NLDN), and 3D volumetric lightning data collected from the Kennedy Space Centers' Lightning Detection And Ranging (LDAR) system. The two primary objectives of this lightning workstation, called Lightning Imaging Sensor Data Applications Display (L1SDAD), are to: a.) Observe how total lightning relates to severe convective storm morphology over central Florida, and, b.) Compare ground based total lightning data (LDAR) to a satellite based lightning detection system. This presentation will focus on objective #1.
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Summary

This paper will discuss findings of a collaborative lightning research project between the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, the National Weather Service (NWS) office in Melbourne (MLB), Florida and the National Aeronautics and Space Administration. In August 1996, NWS MLB received a workstation which incorporates data from the KMLB WSR-88D, Cloud...

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The design and evaluation of the Lightning Imaging Sensor Data Applications Display (LISDAD)

Published in:
19th Conf. on Severe Local Storms, 14-18 September 1998, pp. 631-634.

Summary

The ultimate goal of the LISDAD system is to quantify the utility of total lightning infomation in short-term, severe-weather-forecasting operations. Secondary goals were to collect times series of various storm-cell parameters that relate to storm development and electrification and subsequently make these data available for post-facto analysis. To these ends scientists from NASA, NWS, and MIT/LL organized an effort to study the relationship of lightning and severe-weather on a storm-by-storm, and even cell-by-cell basis for as many storms as possible near Melbourne, Florida. Melbourne was chosen as it offers a unique combination of high probability of severe weather and proximity to major relevant sensors, specifically: NASA's total lightning mapping system at Kennedy Space Center (the LDAR system) at KSC [Lennon and Maier, 1991], a NWS / NEXRAD radar at Melbourne, and a prototype Integrated Terminal Weather System (ITWS), at Orlando. The ITWS system obtains cloud-to-ground lightning information from the National Lightning Detection Network (NLDN) via a link to Lexington, MA, and also uses NSSL's Severe Storms Analysis Package (NSSL / SSAP) to obtain information about various storm-cell parameters
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Summary

The ultimate goal of the LISDAD system is to quantify the utility of total lightning infomation in short-term, severe-weather-forecasting operations. Secondary goals were to collect times series of various storm-cell parameters that relate to storm development and electrification and subsequently make these data available for post-facto analysis. To these ends...

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Total lightning as a severe weather diagnostic in strongly baroclinic systems in Central Florida

Published in:
19th Conf. on Severe Local Storms, 14-18 September 1998, pp. 643-647.

Summary

Severe weather is defined by specific thresholds in wind. hail size and vorticity. All of these phenomena have close physical connections with vertical drafts in deep convection, which are themselves not directly measured with scanning Doppler radars of the NEXRAD type. Cloud electrification and lightning are particularly sensitive to these drafts because they modulate the supply of supercooled water which is the growth agent for the ice particles (ice crystals, graupel and hail) believed essential for electrical charge separation. For these reasons, one can expect correlations at the outset between total lightning activity and the development of severe weather which may aid in the understanding and prediction of these extreme weather conditions. The exploration of these ideas has historically been impeded by lack of good quantitative observations. A recent review of results on severe storm electrification (Williams, 1998) indicates a general absence of cases for which total lightning activity is documented over the lifetime of a severe storm. The recent development of LISDAD (Lightning Imaging Sensor Data Application Display) (Boldi, et aI., 1998) has largely remedied this problem. This paper is concerned with the use of LISDAD to quantify the behavior of total lightning in all types of severe weather, with a focus on a pair of extraordinarily electrified supercells in the Florida dry season.
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Summary

Severe weather is defined by specific thresholds in wind. hail size and vorticity. All of these phenomena have close physical connections with vertical drafts in deep convection, which are themselves not directly measured with scanning Doppler radars of the NEXRAD type. Cloud electrification and lightning are particularly sensitive to these...

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Total lightning and radar storm characteristics associated with severe storms in Central Florida

Published in:
19th Conf. on Severe Local Storms, 14-18 September 1998, pp. 639-642.

Summary

A number of prior studies have examined the association of lightning activity with the occurrence of severe weather and tornadoes, in particular. High flash rates are often observed in tornadic storms but not always. Taylor found that 23% of nontornadic storms and I% of non-severe storms had sferics rates comparable to the tornadic storms. MacGorman (1993) found that storms with mesocyclones produced more frequent intracloud (lC) lightning than cloud-ta-ground (CG) lightning. MacGorman (1993) and others suggest that the lightning activity accompanying tornadic storms will be dominated by intracloud lightning- with an increase in intracloud and total flash rates as the updraft increases in depth, size, and velocity. In a recent study, Perez et aI. (1998) found that CG flash rates alone are too variable to be a useful predictor of (F4, F5) tornado formation. Studies of non-tornadic storms have also shown that total lightning flash rates track the updraft, with rates increasing as the updraft intensifies and decreasing rapidly with cessation of vertical growth or downburst onset (Goodman et aI., 1988; Williams et aI., 1989). Such relationships result from the development of mixed phase precipitation and increased hydrometeor collisions that lead to the efficient separation of charge. Correlations between updraft strength and other variables such as cloud-top height, cloud water mass, and hail size have also been observed. In this paper we examine the total lightning activity (with high time resolution), and the associated Doppler radar time history of weaker (FO, Fl) tornadic storms in Florida. Much of the prior work has focused on tornadic supercells in the Great Plains.
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Summary

A number of prior studies have examined the association of lightning activity with the occurrence of severe weather and tornadoes, in particular. High flash rates are often observed in tornadic storms but not always. Taylor found that 23% of nontornadic storms and I% of non-severe storms had sferics rates comparable...

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