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Total global lightning inferred from Schumann resonance measurements

Author:
Published in:
J. Geophys. Res., Vol. 103, No. D24, 27 December 1998, pp. 31,775-31,779.

Summary

Radiation with frequencies of 5-30 Hz is ducted between Earth's surface and ionosphere with little attenuation; at the lowest frequencies, waves travel several times around the Earth before losing most of their energy. Much of this radiation is produced by lightning. Here we assume that all of this radiation is produced by lightning, and attempt to invert the observed and electric and magnetic fields to infer global lightning activity. We show 10 days of inversions. For these 10 days, the inferred average rate of vertical charge transfer squared is only 1.7 105 (ten to the fifth) (Ckm)2/s Other studies suggest that the root mean square moment change of a flash is about 166 Coulomb kilometers. If we naively assume that each of these flashes is composed of four equally sized strokes, then we conclude that our entire observed signal could be produced by only 22 flashes per second.
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Summary

Radiation with frequencies of 5-30 Hz is ducted between Earth's surface and ionosphere with little attenuation; at the lowest frequencies, waves travel several times around the Earth before losing most of their energy. Much of this radiation is produced by lightning. Here we assume that all of this radiation is...

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Comparisons between total lightning data, mesocyclone strength, and storm damage associated with the Florida tornado outbreak of February 23 1998

Published in:
19th Conf. on Severe Local Storms, 14-18 September 1998, pp. 681-684.

Summary

During the late evening and early morning hours of February 22/23 1998, the worst tornado outbreak in recorded history occurred over the peninsula of central Florida. Analysis of KMLB Doppler radar data indicated at least 9 supercells developed over the region, with 4 of the supercells producing tornadoes. These 4 tornadic supercells produced a total of 7 tornadoes, some of them on the ground for tens of miles (Fig. 1.). A total of 42 fatalities were reported with over 260 injured. Monetary losses totaled over 100 million dollars. During this severe weather outbreak, National Weather Service Melbourne, in collaboration with the National Aeronautics and Space Administration and the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, was collecting data from a unique lightning observing system called Lightning Imaging Sensor Data Applications Display (LISDAD). This system has the capability to combine radar reflectivity data collected from the KMLB WSR-88D, cloud to ground data collected from the National Lightning Detection Network, and total lightning data collected from NASA's Lightning Detection And Ranging (LDAR) system. The object of this study is to compare total lightning data collected from the LISDAD system to mesocyclone strength as observed from the KMLB WSR-88D. These data will then be compared to the times of tornadic winds.
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Summary

During the late evening and early morning hours of February 22/23 1998, the worst tornado outbreak in recorded history occurred over the peninsula of central Florida. Analysis of KMLB Doppler radar data indicated at least 9 supercells developed over the region, with 4 of the supercells producing tornadoes. These 4...

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Observations of total lightning associated with severe convection during the wet season in Central Florida

Published in:
19th Conf. on Severe Local Storms, 14-18 September 1998, 635-638.

Summary

This paper will discuss findings of a collaborative lightning research project between the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, the National Weather Service (NWS) office in Melbourne (MLB), Florida and the National Aeronautics and Space Administration. In August 1996, NWS MLB received a workstation which incorporates data from the KMLB WSR-88D, Cloud to Ground (CG) stroke data from the National Lightning Detection Network (NLDN), and 3D volumetric lightning data collected from the Kennedy Space Centers' Lightning Detection And Ranging (LDAR) system. The two primary objectives of this lightning workstation, called Lightning Imaging Sensor Data Applications Display (L1SDAD), are to: a.) Observe how total lightning relates to severe convective storm morphology over central Florida, and, b.) Compare ground based total lightning data (LDAR) to a satellite based lightning detection system. This presentation will focus on objective #1.
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Summary

This paper will discuss findings of a collaborative lightning research project between the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, the National Weather Service (NWS) office in Melbourne (MLB), Florida and the National Aeronautics and Space Administration. In August 1996, NWS MLB received a workstation which incorporates data from the KMLB WSR-88D, Cloud...

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The design and evaluation of the Lightning Imaging Sensor Data Applications Display (LISDAD)

Published in:
19th Conf. on Severe Local Storms, 14-18 September 1998, pp. 631-634.

Summary

The ultimate goal of the LISDAD system is to quantify the utility of total lightning infomation in short-term, severe-weather-forecasting operations. Secondary goals were to collect times series of various storm-cell parameters that relate to storm development and electrification and subsequently make these data available for post-facto analysis. To these ends scientists from NASA, NWS, and MIT/LL organized an effort to study the relationship of lightning and severe-weather on a storm-by-storm, and even cell-by-cell basis for as many storms as possible near Melbourne, Florida. Melbourne was chosen as it offers a unique combination of high probability of severe weather and proximity to major relevant sensors, specifically: NASA's total lightning mapping system at Kennedy Space Center (the LDAR system) at KSC [Lennon and Maier, 1991], a NWS / NEXRAD radar at Melbourne, and a prototype Integrated Terminal Weather System (ITWS), at Orlando. The ITWS system obtains cloud-to-ground lightning information from the National Lightning Detection Network (NLDN) via a link to Lexington, MA, and also uses NSSL's Severe Storms Analysis Package (NSSL / SSAP) to obtain information about various storm-cell parameters
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Summary

The ultimate goal of the LISDAD system is to quantify the utility of total lightning infomation in short-term, severe-weather-forecasting operations. Secondary goals were to collect times series of various storm-cell parameters that relate to storm development and electrification and subsequently make these data available for post-facto analysis. To these ends...

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Total lightning as a severe weather diagnostic in strongly baroclinic systems in Central Florida

Published in:
19th Conf. on Severe Local Storms, 14-18 September 1998, pp. 643-647.

Summary

Severe weather is defined by specific thresholds in wind. hail size and vorticity. All of these phenomena have close physical connections with vertical drafts in deep convection, which are themselves not directly measured with scanning Doppler radars of the NEXRAD type. Cloud electrification and lightning are particularly sensitive to these drafts because they modulate the supply of supercooled water which is the growth agent for the ice particles (ice crystals, graupel and hail) believed essential for electrical charge separation. For these reasons, one can expect correlations at the outset between total lightning activity and the development of severe weather which may aid in the understanding and prediction of these extreme weather conditions. The exploration of these ideas has historically been impeded by lack of good quantitative observations. A recent review of results on severe storm electrification (Williams, 1998) indicates a general absence of cases for which total lightning activity is documented over the lifetime of a severe storm. The recent development of LISDAD (Lightning Imaging Sensor Data Application Display) (Boldi, et aI., 1998) has largely remedied this problem. This paper is concerned with the use of LISDAD to quantify the behavior of total lightning in all types of severe weather, with a focus on a pair of extraordinarily electrified supercells in the Florida dry season.
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Summary

Severe weather is defined by specific thresholds in wind. hail size and vorticity. All of these phenomena have close physical connections with vertical drafts in deep convection, which are themselves not directly measured with scanning Doppler radars of the NEXRAD type. Cloud electrification and lightning are particularly sensitive to these...

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Total lightning and radar storm characteristics associated with severe storms in Central Florida

Published in:
19th Conf. on Severe Local Storms, 14-18 September 1998, pp. 639-642.

Summary

A number of prior studies have examined the association of lightning activity with the occurrence of severe weather and tornadoes, in particular. High flash rates are often observed in tornadic storms but not always. Taylor found that 23% of nontornadic storms and I% of non-severe storms had sferics rates comparable to the tornadic storms. MacGorman (1993) found that storms with mesocyclones produced more frequent intracloud (lC) lightning than cloud-ta-ground (CG) lightning. MacGorman (1993) and others suggest that the lightning activity accompanying tornadic storms will be dominated by intracloud lightning- with an increase in intracloud and total flash rates as the updraft increases in depth, size, and velocity. In a recent study, Perez et aI. (1998) found that CG flash rates alone are too variable to be a useful predictor of (F4, F5) tornado formation. Studies of non-tornadic storms have also shown that total lightning flash rates track the updraft, with rates increasing as the updraft intensifies and decreasing rapidly with cessation of vertical growth or downburst onset (Goodman et aI., 1988; Williams et aI., 1989). Such relationships result from the development of mixed phase precipitation and increased hydrometeor collisions that lead to the efficient separation of charge. Correlations between updraft strength and other variables such as cloud-top height, cloud water mass, and hail size have also been observed. In this paper we examine the total lightning activity (with high time resolution), and the associated Doppler radar time history of weaker (FO, Fl) tornadic storms in Florida. Much of the prior work has focused on tornadic supercells in the Great Plains.
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Summary

A number of prior studies have examined the association of lightning activity with the occurrence of severe weather and tornadoes, in particular. High flash rates are often observed in tornadic storms but not always. Taylor found that 23% of nontornadic storms and I% of non-severe storms had sferics rates comparable...

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Terminal Weather Information for Pilots (TWIP) Program Annual Report for 1995

Published in:
MIT Lincoln Laboratory Report ATC-253

Summary

The Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) is currently embarking on programs, such as the Terminal Doppler Weather Radar (TDWR) and Integrated Terminal Weather Systems (ITWS), that will significanlty improve the aviation weather information in the terminal area. For example, TDWR data will be available at 47 airports across the United States that have high traffic and significant risk of wind shear. The TDWRs automatically report microburst, gust front and precipitaion near the airport to air traffic control personnel on a 24-hour basis. Given the great increase in the quantity and quality of terminal weather information, it is highly desirable to provide this information directly to pilots rather than relying on voice communications. Providing terminal weather information automatically via data link will enhance pilot awareness of weather hazards and lead to more efficient utilization of aircraft. It may also decrease air traffic controller workload and reduce ratio frequency congestion. This report describes work performed in 1995 to provide direct pilot access to terminal weather information via an existing data link known as ACARS (Aircraft, Communication Addressing and Reporting System). More than 4000 aircraft operate in the United States with ACARS equipment. During 1995, five Lincoln-operated testbeds provided near real-time terminal weather information to pilots of AFCARS-equipped aircraft in both text and character graphics formats. This effort follows earlier successful demonstrations during the summers of 1993 and 1994. Section 2 of the report describes the TWIP message formats, Section 3 discusses the 1995 operational demonstration, and Section 4 presents TWIP software design. Section 5 provides case analyses from the 1995 demonstration, Section 6 discusses future work, and Section 7 is the summary.
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Summary

The Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) is currently embarking on programs, such as the Terminal Doppler Weather Radar (TDWR) and Integrated Terminal Weather Systems (ITWS), that will significanlty improve the aviation weather information in the terminal area. For example, TDWR data will be available at 47 airports across the United States...

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Initial comparison of lightning mapping with operational time-of-arrival and interferometric systems

Published in:
J. Geophys. Res., Vol. 102, No. D10, 27 May 1997, pp. 11,071-11,085.

Summary

The mapping of lightning radiation sources produced by the operational Time-of-Arrival National Aeronautics and Space Administration/Lightning Detection and Ranging (NASA/LDAR) system is compared with that of the Interferometric French Office National D'Etudes et de Recherches Aerospatiales (ONERA-3D) system. The comparison comprises lightning activity in three Florida storms and also individual flashes in one of these storms. Although limited in scope, the comparison analysis show a significant difference in the representation of lightning radiation by each mapping system. During the duration of a flash, the LDAR data show a continuity in time and a three-dimensional structure of radiation sources. The ONERA-3D radiation source data are more intermittent in time and have a more two-dimensional structure. The distinction between the radiation sources mapped by the two systems is also reflected in the difference between their propagation speeds, 10^4-10^5 m s^-1, estimated by the LDAR system, and 10^7-10^8 m s^-1, estimated by the ONERA-3D system. We infer that this difference occurs because most of the radiation sources mapped with LDAR are associated with virgin breakdown processes typical of slowly propagating negative leaders. On the other hand, most of the radiation sources mapped with ONERA3D are produced by fast intermittent negative breakdown processes typical of dart leaders and K changes as they traverse the previously ionized channels. Thus each operational system may emphasize different stages of the lightning flash, but neither appears to map the entire flash.
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Summary

The mapping of lightning radiation sources produced by the operational Time-of-Arrival National Aeronautics and Space Administration/Lightning Detection and Ranging (NASA/LDAR) system is compared with that of the Interferometric French Office National D'Etudes et de Recherches Aerospatiales (ONERA-3D) system. The comparison comprises lightning activity in three Florida storms and also individual...

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The COBEL model as part of a terminal-area ceiling & visibility (C&V) nowcast system: a progress report

Published in:
MIT Lincoln Laboratory Report ATC-241

Summary

The Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) Integrated Terminal Weather System (ITWS) is supporting the development of products aimed at providing automated guidance to the air traffic managers for the anticipation of changes in ceiling and visibility (C&V) conditions and wake vortex behavior in the terminal area. Fine-resolution, one-dimensional (column) numerical models are being considered to provide information on the evolution of the local fine-scale structure of the lower atmosphere over the terminal area. The Code Brouillard Eau Liquids (COBEL) column model is being investigated for potential use within the ITWS. This one-dimensional numerical model has been developed for the short-term prediction of fog events in the north of France. This report describes initial progress in adapting the COBEL model to a wider range of meteorological conditions. A parameterization of surface frost deposition was implemented and a slight error in the computation of stability in a saturated atmosphere was corrected. Tests suggest that these modifications represent important features of the newest version of the COBEL model. Other significant modifications to the COBEL model were performed. Pressure tendencies and vertical motion (vertical advection) were implemented as additional external forcings to the column model. Sensitivity tests show that these forcings play important roles in determining the onset, evolution and dissipation of low stratiform clouds. Some further applications of the model are briefly discussed and future development efforts are suggested.
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Summary

The Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) Integrated Terminal Weather System (ITWS) is supporting the development of products aimed at providing automated guidance to the air traffic managers for the anticipation of changes in ceiling and visibility (C&V) conditions and wake vortex behavior in the terminal area. Fine-resolution, one-dimensional (column) numerical models...

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The Marine Stratus Initiative at San Francisco International Airport

Author:
Published in:
MIT Lincoln Laboratory Report ATC-252

Summary

San Francisco International Airport is one of the busiest airports in the United States and one of the highest delay airports in terms of total aircraft delay hours and number of imposed air traffic delay programs. As with most airports, weather is the primary cause of aircraft delay. In particular, the local airspace is prone to regular occurrences of low cloud ceiling conditions due to intrusion of marine air from the eastern Pacific Ocean from May through September. Typically, this layer of stratus clouds forms in the San Francisco Bay area overnight and dissipates during the middle to late morning. The timing of the stratus cloud dissipation is such that it frequently poses a threat to the morning arrival push of air traffic into San Francisco. Weather forecasters at the Central Weather Service Unit (CWSU) at the Oakland AirRoute Traffic Control Center are responsible for providing a forecast whether or not the cloudiness will impact morning traffic operations. This information is used for decision making by the Traffic Management Unit at Oakland Center in order to optimally match arriving traffic demand to available airport capacity. As part of the FAA's Integrated Terminal Weather System, the Weather Sensing Group at MIT Lincoln Laboratory has begun an effort entitled the "Marine Stratus Initiative." Its objective is to provide improved weather information and forecast guidance to the Oakland CWSU, which is responsible for providing weather forecasts to air traffic managers. During 1995, the main focus of the project was the design and implementation of a data acquisition, communication, and display infrastructure that provides forecasters with new sources of weather data and information. These initial capabilities were tested during an operational demonstration in August and September. As the project continues, the intent is to improve these new data sources and develop an automated or semi-automated algorithm that will process raw information to provide weather forecasters with numerical guidance to assist them in the forecast process. A description of airport operations at San Francisco and the impact of marine stratus are presented. An explanation is given of the marine stratus phenomenology and the primary factors contributing to cloud dissipation. This conceptual model of the dissipation process is used to define system requirements. A description of the hardware, communications, and display subsystems is provided. An overview of the 1995 demonstration, including user comments, is presented, as well as future plans for meeting the longer-term objectives of the project.
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Summary

San Francisco International Airport is one of the busiest airports in the United States and one of the highest delay airports in terms of total aircraft delay hours and number of imposed air traffic delay programs. As with most airports, weather is the primary cause of aircraft delay. In particular...

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