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Aircraft encounters with thunderstorms in enroute vs. terminal airspace above Memphis, Tennesssee
May 13, 2002
Conference Paper
Published in:
Proc. 10th Conf. on Aviation, Range and Aerospace Meteorology, 13-16 May 2002, pp. 162-165.
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Summary
To date, very little attention has been given to quantifying the effects of thunderstorms on air traffic in enroute airspace. What types of storms cause pilots to deviate from their nominal flight routes? What types of storms do pilots fly through? Around? Over? When thunderstorms are forecast to affect a particular region, how many planes will need to be rerouted? Which ones? Which aspects of the storm need to be accurately forecast in order to answer those questions? How does the forecast accuracy affect the quality of airspace capacity predictions? Quantitative answers to these questions would contribute to the design of useful decision support tools. Federal Aviation Administration decision support tools are being equipped with the ability for air traffic managers to define dynamic "flow constrained areas" (FCAs). Each FCA will be a polygon in latitude/longitude space with ceiling and floor altitudes and a motion vector. One primary use for FCAs will be to define regions that do, or probably will, contain convective thunderstorm activity. These tools will help air traffic managers decide which planes to re-route around the weather and which planes have a reasonable chance of flying through, between, or over the storms. Although it will be helpful to have the ability to manually define FCAs in the traffic managers' tools, the efficiency of the solutions that will be worked out with those tools would be greatly enhanced by answers to the questions posed above. In our prior work we have attempted to quantify the behavior of pilots who encounter thunderstorms in terminal airspace during the final 60 nautical miles of flight. In this study we compare the storm avoidance behavior of pilots in enroute airspace with that of pilots who encountered the very same storms at lower altitudes, in terminal airspace. The study is preliminary, but it complements the terminal work, affords some insight into pilot behavior, and raises questions that should be addressed in a larger study.
Summary
To date, very little attention has been given to quantifying the effects of thunderstorms on air traffic in enroute airspace. What types of storms cause pilots to deviate from their nominal flight routes? What types of storms do pilots fly through? Around? Over? When thunderstorms are forecast to affect a...
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An evaluation of the Medium-Intensity Airport Weather System (MIAWS) products at the Memphis, TN and Jackson, MS International Airports
May 13, 2002
Conference Paper
Published in:
10th Conf. on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology (13th Conf. on Applied Climatology), 13-16 May 2002, pp. J118-J122.
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Summary
The FAA is procuring aviation weather systems, which are designed to enhance safety/capacity and reduce delays at U.S. airports. The two most widely publicized systems currently being installed are the Integrated Terminal Weather System (ITWS) at airports equipped with a Terminal Doppler Weather Radar (TDWR) and the Weather System Processor (WSP) at those terminal areas covered by an Airport Surveillance Radar, Model 9 (ASR-9). At airports not slated to receive either an ITWS or WSP, an emerging system coined the Medium Intensity Airport Weather System (MIAWS) will be installed. Currently, either an ASR-7 or 8 provides terminal aircraft surveillance at these airports. Unfortunately, these platforms do not output calibrated precipitation intensity or storm motion information. Quantitative six-level weather reflectivity data will be available once the digitally enhanced ASR-11 radar system is operational at MIAWS supported sites. The Low Level Wind Shear Alert System - Relocation/Sustainment (LLWAS-RS) anemometer network will provide MIAWS with surface-based winds and wind shear alerts. The rationale for MIAWS evolved from the ITWS and WSP prototype testing. The premise is that the calibrated reflectivity and velocity data from state-of-the-art radar platforms can be utilized to produce a suite of current and forecasted storm positions to aid air traffic control decision making. The forecasted location is a critical issue if the storms are moving rapidly. This can lead to a scenario where the weather conditions deteriorate significantly within a matter of minutes. Once implemented, MIAWS will be an essential component of the National Airspace System by providing this evolving technology to airports whose traffic counts are not sufficient to warrant either an ITWS or WSP, but where commercial carriers could reap the benefits of a high-quality weather radar system. The FAA has contracted the Massachusetts Institute of Technology Lincoln Laboratory (MIT/LL) to undertake a proof-of-concept evaluation of MIAWS. To this end, MIT/LL installed two prototype systems at the Jackson, MS (JAN) and Memphis, TN (MEM) International Airports. The system at MEM is used solely for product evaluation and refinement, while the FAA is operationally evaluating the JAN MIAWS. The focus of this report is a preliminary assessment of the capabilities and limitations of MIAWS in its current implementation, i.e. precipitation based solely on NEXRAD data. Potential enhancements to the NEXRAD product data and MIAWS algorithms will also be discussed.
Summary
The FAA is procuring aviation weather systems, which are designed to enhance safety/capacity and reduce delays at U.S. airports. The two most widely publicized systems currently being installed are the Integrated Terminal Weather System (ITWS) at airports equipped with a Terminal Doppler Weather Radar (TDWR) and the Weather System Processor...
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The Corridor Integrated Weather System (CIWS)
May 13, 2002
Conference Paper
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10th Conf. on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology, 13-16 May 2002, pp. 210-215.
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The FAA Operational Evolution Plan (OEP) identified en route severe weather as one of the four problems that must be addressed if the US. air transportation system is to alleviate the growing gap between the demand for air transportation and the ability of the system to meet that demand. Convective weather in highly congested airspace is of particular concern because many of the delays arise from these corridors. For example, rerouting aircraft around areas of actual or predicted weather can be very difficult when one must be concerned about controller overload in the weather free sectors. When major terminals also underlie the en route airspace, convective weather has even greater adverse impacts. The principal thrust to date in addressing this problem has been "strategic" collaborative routing as exemplified by the "Spring 2000" and "Spring 2001" initiatives. However, success of the strategic approach embodied in these initiatives depends on the ability to accurately forecast convective weather impacts two or more hours in advance. Limitations in the forecast accuracy necessitate development of a companion "tactical" convective weather capability. In this paper, we describe a major new FAA initiative, the Corridor Integrated Weather System (CIWS). The objective of this project, which is currently in the concept exploration phase, is to improve tactical convective weather decision support for congested en route airspace. A real time operational demonstration, which was begun in July 2001 in the Great Lakes corridor, will be extended to the Northeast corridor in 2002. In the sections that follow, we describe the operational needs that motivated the ClWS initiative, the technology under investigation, the concept exploration test bed and summer 2001 operational experience, and the near term plans for the CIWS concept exploration.
Summary
The FAA Operational Evolution Plan (OEP) identified en route severe weather as one of the four problems that must be addressed if the US. air transportation system is to alleviate the growing gap between the demand for air transportation and the ability of the system to meet that demand. Convective...
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Low altitude boyancy wave turbulence - a potential aviation safety threat
May 13, 2002
Conference Paper
Published in:
10th Conf. on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology, 13-16 May 2002, pp. 375-378.
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Weather comprises one of the most significant safety hazards facing civilian aviation today. This hazard has been significantly reduced by the development and use of microburst wind shear detection technologies such as the Low Level Wind Shear Alert System (LLWAS), the Terminal Doppler Weather Radar (TDWR), the ASR-9 Weather Systems Processor (WSP) and the Integrated Terminal Weather System (ITWS). Each was designed to detect and warn for the presence of low altitude wind shear resulting from microburst and gust fronts. These systems have made an unquestionable improvement in aviation safety; however, there are other forms of low altitude wind shear hazardous to aviation. This paper provides a description of a low altitude buoyancy wave (BW) induced turbulence phenomena that appears to also be a significant hazard to aviation. Buoyancy wave turbulence can be particularly dangerous since it often occurs outside regions containing intense precipitation where pilots typically expect to encounter thunderstorm induced wind shear conditions. Section 2 of this paper contains a general description of BW phenomena based on laboratory and observational studies. Section 3 will briefly summarize several incidents where commercial and civilian aircraft have encountered buoyancy waved induced turbulence. A summary and conclusions are made in section 4.
Summary
Weather comprises one of the most significant safety hazards facing civilian aviation today. This hazard has been significantly reduced by the development and use of microburst wind shear detection technologies such as the Low Level Wind Shear Alert System (LLWAS), the Terminal Doppler Weather Radar (TDWR), the ASR-9 Weather Systems...
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Development of automated aviation weather products for ocean/remote regions: scientific and practical challenges, research strategies, and first steps
May 13, 2002
Conference Paper
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10th Conf. on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology, 13-16 May 2002, pp. 57-60.
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From the common and recognizable occurrence of convection, to the sporadic and far less visible reach of volcanic ash, meteorological phenomena impose diverse challenges to the efficiency, economic viability, and safety of flight operations across the global oceans. Those challenges are compounded by special difficulties associated with nowcasting and forecasting for remote areas, such as expansive voids in surface observations and soundings, large forecast domains, communications difficulties, and long-duration flights often needing significant forecast updates. Conspicuously lacking over oceans are the observational capabilities that provide key information about the internal structure of convection - notably radar and lightning detection systems. The long-term oceanic weather development program (OW) outlined here seeks to use improved understanding of the phenomenology of oceanic weather hazards along with new observations, model information and processing tools to fashion automated forecast/briefing products supporting remote oceanic routes. A parallel OW objective (outlined by Lindholm and Bums, 2002, this conference volume) supports in-flight product transfer to the cockpit. Established in March, 2001, the OW program is still in its infancy. Thus, we concentrate here upon strategy and the scientific basis for our plans. Although our work has begun with a focus on low and middle latitudes (Pacific, Atlantic and Gulf of Mexico regions), increasing use of polar routes is likely to raise the priority for products tailored to high latitude regions over the next several years.
Summary
From the common and recognizable occurrence of convection, to the sporadic and far less visible reach of volcanic ash, meteorological phenomena impose diverse challenges to the efficiency, economic viability, and safety of flight operations across the global oceans. Those challenges are compounded by special difficulties associated with nowcasting and forecasting...
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Enhancement to Terminal Doppler Weather Radar to improve aviation weather services
May 13, 2002
Conference Paper
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10th Conf. on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology, 13-16 May 2002, pp. 28-31.
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This paper has described work underway to enhance the TDWRs capability to provide wind shear detection services in challenging conditions, and to provide a flexible platform with COTS hardware that would support future improvements. A Radar Data Acquisition (RDA) system retrofit will upgrade the transmitter, receiver and digital signal processing subsystems of the radar to improve the quality of the reflectivity and Doppler imagery generated by the system and to extend its instrumented range. Algorithms have been described for achieving improved rejection of ground clutter and range-folded weather echoes, and reduction of Doppler velocity aliasing. An open COTS-based processing architecture was presented for the TDWR RDA retrofit, and a test program was outlined that is commencing in Oklahoma in the spring of 2002.
Summary
This paper has described work underway to enhance the TDWRs capability to provide wind shear detection services in challenging conditions, and to provide a flexible platform with COTS hardware that would support future improvements. A Radar Data Acquisition (RDA) system retrofit will upgrade the transmitter, receiver and digital signal processing...
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New products for the NEXRAD ORPG to support FAA critical systems
February 9, 2002
Conference Paper
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19th Int. Conf. on Interactive Processing Systems for Meteorology, Oceanography and Hydrology, 9-13 February 2002.
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A number of Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) critical systems rely on products from the NEXRAD (WSR-88D) suite of algorithms. These systems include MIAWS (Medium Intensity Airport Weather System), ITWS (Integrated Terminal Weather System), CIWS (Corridor Integrated Weather System), and WARP (Weather and Radar Processing). With the advent of the NEXRAD Open Radar Product Generator (ORPG), a six-month build cycle has been established for the incorporation of new or improved algorithms. This build cycle provides the mechanism for the integration of new products into the algorithm suite tailored to the needs of these FAA systems now and into the future. Figure 1 is useful for visualizing the MIT/LL ORPGnet. Four of the ORPGnet systems are located at MIT/LL headquartered in Lexington, MA. These four systems form the core of the development center where algorithms are developed for and implemented into the ORPG environment. Part of the development process includes examination of algorithm products created from past weather. A number of utilities are available for playback of various versions of NEXRAD Archive II base data: from tape or disk files in standard or LDM formats. Additionally, MIT/LL operates the CIWS demonstation project for the FAA. The ORPG clones at the development center have access to base data from 26 NEXRAD radars from the Midwest to the East Coast of the United States ingested for CIWS. The FAA has tasked the Massachusetts Institute of Technology's Lincoln Laboratory (MIT/LL) with developing algorithms for the ORPG to address their systems' needs. Many of these algorithms will also prove useful to other users of NEXRAD products such as the National Weather Service and the Department of Defense. MIT/LL has created a network of ten ORPGs, or an ORPGnet, to use for the purpose of developing, testing, and implementing new algorithms targeted to specific builds. The benefits of the ORPGnet will be discussed in more detail later in this paper. MIT/LL has provided improvements to existing algorithms or developed new algorithms for the first three build cycles of the ORPG (Istok et al., 2002; Smalley and Bennett, 2002). Development of more algorithms is currently in progress for upcoming build cycles. In addition to describing ORPGnet, this paper will focus on its use in the development of a new Data Quality Assurance (DQA) algorithm, an improved High Resolution VIL (HRVIL) algorithm, and progress on the development of the enhanced Echo Tops (EET) algorithm; as well as the symbiotic relationship of these algorithms to the FAA critical systems.
Summary
A number of Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) critical systems rely on products from the NEXRAD (WSR-88D) suite of algorithms. These systems include MIAWS (Medium Intensity Airport Weather System), ITWS (Integrated Terminal Weather System), CIWS (Corridor Integrated Weather System), and WARP (Weather and Radar Processing). With the advent of the NEXRAD...
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Contributions to the AIAA Guidance, Navigation & Control Conference
January 23, 2002
Project Report
Published in:
MIT Lincoln Laboratory Report NASA-A-5
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This report contains six papers presented by the Lincoln Laboratory Air Traffic Control Systems Group at the American Institute of Aeronautics & Astronautics (AIAA) Guidance, Navigation and Control (GNC) conference on 6-9 August 2001 in Montreal, Canada. The work reported was sponsored by the NASA Advanced Air Transportation Technologies (AATT) program and the FAA Free Flight Phase 1 (FFPl) program. The papers are based on studies completed at Lincoln Laboratory in collaboration with staff at NASA Ames Research Center. These papers were presented in the Air Traffic Automation Session of the conference and fall into three major areas: Traffic Analysis & Benefits Studies, Weather/Automation Integration, and Surface Surveillance. In the first area, a paper by Andrews & Robinson presents an analysis of the efficiency of runway operations at Dallas/l%. Worth using a tool called PARO, and a paper by Welch, Andrews, & Robinson presents delay benefit results for the Final Approach Spacing Tool (FAST). In the second area, a paper by Campbell, et al. describes a new weather distribution system for the Center/TRACON Automation System (CTAS) that allows ingestion of multiple weather sources, and a paper by van de Venne, Lloyd, & Hogaboom describes the use of the NOAA Eta model as a backup wind data source for CTAS. Also in this area, a paper by Murphy & Campbell presents initial steps towards integrating weather-impacted routes into FAST. In the third area, a paper by Welch, Bussolari, and Atkins presents an initial operational concept for using surface surveillance to reduce taxi delays.
Summary
This report contains six papers presented by the Lincoln Laboratory Air Traffic Control Systems Group at the American Institute of Aeronautics & Astronautics (AIAA) Guidance, Navigation and Control (GNC) conference on 6-9 August 2001 in Montreal, Canada. The work reported was sponsored by the NASA Advanced Air Transportation Technologies (AATT)...
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Tactical convective weather decision support to complement "strategic" traffic flow management for convective weather
November 4, 2001
Conference Paper
Published in:
46th Annual Air Traffic Control Association Conf. Proc., 4-8 November 2001, pp. 98-102.
Summary
Delay increases during the months of the year characterized by thunderstorms have been the principal cause of the dramatic delay growth in the US aviation system over the past 3 years, as shown in Figure 1. In 2000, the key new initiative for reducing these convective weather delays was "strategic" traffic flow management (TFM) through the Collaborative Convective Forecast Product (CCFP), the Strategic Planning Team, and Collaborative Routing (CR). This "strategic" approach has been quite successful in improving operations. However, in congested airspace, the inability to accurately forecast convective weather impacts requires a complementary tactical weather decision support capability. This paper describes terminal and enroute weather prediction systems plus traffic flow management and automation decision support tools to complement the strategic approach.
Summary
Delay increases during the months of the year characterized by thunderstorms have been the principal cause of the dramatic delay growth in the US aviation system over the past 3 years, as shown in Figure 1. In 2000, the key new initiative for reducing these convective weather delays was "strategic"...
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Evaluation of Eta model forecasts as a backup weather source for CTAS
August 6, 2001
Conference Paper
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AIAA Guidance, Navigation and Control Conf.: a collection of Technical Papers, Vol. 3, 6-9 August 2001, pp. 1837-1842.
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Knowledge of present and future winds and temperature is important for air traffic operations in general, but is crucial for Decision Support Tools (DSTs) that rely heavily on accurately predicting trajectories of aircraft. One such tool is the Center-TRACON Automation System (CTAS) developed by NASA Ames Research Center. The Rapid Update Cycle (RUC) system is presently the principal source of weather information for CTAS. RUC provides weather updates on an hourly basis on a nationwide grid with horizontal resolution of 40 km and vertical resolution of 25 mb in pressure. However, a recent study of RUC data availability showed that the NWS and NOAA servers are subject to frequent service interruptions. Over a 210 day period (4/19/00-11/11/00), the availability of two NOAA and one NWS RUC server was monitored automatically. It was found that 60 days (29%) had periods of one hour or more where at least one server was out, with the longest outage lasting 13 hours on 9/21/00. In addition, there were 9 days (4%) for which all three servers were simultaneously unavailable, with the longest outage lasting 6 hours on 5/7/00. Moreover, even longer outages have been experienced with the RUC servers over the past several years. RUC forecasts are provided for up to 12 hours, but these are not currently used in CTAS as back up sources (except that the 1 or 2 hour forecasts are used for the current winds to compensate for transmission delays in obtaining the RUC data). Since RUC outages have been experienced for longer than 12 hours, it is therefore necessary to back RUC up with another weather source providing long-range forecasts. This paper examines the use of the Eta model forecasts as a back-up weather sources for CTAS. A specific output of the Eta km model, namely Grid 104, was selected for evaluation because its horizontal and vertical resolution, spatial extent and output parameters match most closely those of RUC. While RUC forecasts for a maximum of 12 hours into the future, Eta does so for up to 60 hours. In the event that a RUC outage would occur, Eta data could be substituted. If Eta data also became unavailable, the last issued forecasts could allow CTAS to continue to function properly for up to 60 hours. The approach used for evaluating the suitability of the Eta model and RUC forecasts was to compare them with the RUC analysis output or 0 hour forecast file, at the forecast time. Not surprisingly, it was found that the RUC model forecasts had lower wind magnitude errors out to 12 hours (the limit of the RUC forecasts) than the Eta model had. Hosever, the wind magnitude error for the Eta model grew only from 9 ft/s at 12 hours (comparable with RUC) to 11 ft/s at 48 hours. We therefore conclude that RUC forecasts should be used for outages up to 12 hours and Eta model forecasts should be used for outages up to 60 hours.
Summary
Knowledge of present and future winds and temperature is important for air traffic operations in general, but is crucial for Decision Support Tools (DSTs) that rely heavily on accurately predicting trajectories of aircraft. One such tool is the Center-TRACON Automation System (CTAS) developed by NASA Ames Research Center. The Rapid...
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