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Estimating a windshear hazard index from ground-based terminal Doppler radar

Published in:
26th Int. Conf. on Radar Meteorology, 24-28 May 1993, pp. 670-672.

Summary

In the past decade, a great deal of effort has been invested in developing ground based wind shear detection systems for major U.S. airports. However, there has been a lack of research in developing a quantitative relationship between the wind shear hazards detected by ground based systems and the actual hazard experienced by an aircraft flying through the affected air space. To date, the main thrust of the verification efforts for ground-based systems has been to ensure that the system accurately detect and report the presence of the meteorological phenomena that cause potentially important hazardous windshear. There is a subtle, but potentially important difference between detecting the presence or a microburst and detecting the presence of an aviation hazard. With this in mind, it would seem prudent to rigorously determine what correlation exists between the wind shear warnings that are generated from ground systems and the performance impact on aircraft flying through the impacted airspace. The operational demonstration of the testbed Terminal Doppler Weather Radar (TDWR) in Orlando, Florida along with the testing of airborne Doppler radar systems created a unique opportunity to compare extensively the ground based windshear reports with in-situ aircraft measurements. This paper presents the results from 69 microburst penetrations flown in 1990 and 1991 by the University of North Dakota (UND), the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) Langley Research Center, and Rockwell Collins under surveillance of the Lincoln-operated TDWR testbed radar. The primary goal of the research was to determine the relative accuracy of several methods designed to generate a numerical microburst hazard index, called the F factor, from ground-based Doppler radar data. It is hope that this work will provide both a qualitative and quantitative basis for the discussion and assessment of microburst hazard reporting for ground-based microburst detection systems. The Integrated Airborne Wind Shear Program is a joint NASA/FAA program with the objective to provide the technology base that will permit low altitude windshear risk reduction through airborne detection, warning, and avoidance. Additionally, the program aims to demonstrate the practicality and utility of real-time assimilation and synthesis of ground-derived windshear data to support executive level cockpit warning and crew-centered information display. Lincoln Laboratory joined this effort and provided the weather radar ground support and some of the post-flight data analysis for NASA's microburst penetration flights in Orlando, Florida.
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Summary

In the past decade, a great deal of effort has been invested in developing ground based wind shear detection systems for major U.S. airports. However, there has been a lack of research in developing a quantitative relationship between the wind shear hazards detected by ground based systems and the actual...

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Quantifying airport terminal area weather surveillance requirements

Published in:
26th Int. Conf. on Radar Meteorology, 24-28 May 1993, pp. 47-49.

Summary

The Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) Terminal Area Surveillance System (TASS) research, engineering, and development program was initiated in part to address future weather sensing needs in the terminal area. By the early 21st century, planned systems such as the Terminal Doppler Weather Radar (TDWR) and Airport Surveillance Radar-9 (ASR-9) will be well into their designed life cycles. Any new terminal weather surveillance system should be designed to address existing deficiencies. Key unmet weather sensing needs include detections of: true 3-dimensional winds (vs. radial component), winds in the absence of precipitation, wake vortices, total lightning, hail, icing conditions, clear air turbulence, hazardous weather cells (with adequate time and space resolution), cloud cover and cloud bases (including layers), fog, and visibility (Runway Visual Range), as well as predictions of: the atmospheric conditions mentioned above, wind shifts, microbursts, tornadoes, and snow/rainfall rates (Evans 1991a, McCarthy 1991). In this paper, we investigate the premise that hazardous weather cells are not currently being measured with adequate time and space resolution in the terminal area. Since a new surveillance system should be based on knowledge of storm dynamics, we have performed a preliminary study of update rate (using rapid scan radar to detect rapidly developing thunderstorms and precursors to the low altitude hazards such as microbursts that they produce. Other aspects of a future radar system such as multi-parameter techniques required to discriminate between ice and water phase precipitation, etc. are not considered.
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Summary

The Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) Terminal Area Surveillance System (TASS) research, engineering, and development program was initiated in part to address future weather sensing needs in the terminal area. By the early 21st century, planned systems such as the Terminal Doppler Weather Radar (TDWR) and Airport Surveillance Radar-9 (ASR-9) will...

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Preliminary results of the weather testing component of the Terminal Doppler Weather Radar operational test and evaluation

Published in:
Proc. 26th Int. Conf. on Radar Meteorology, 24-28 May 1993, pp. 29-34.

Summary

The Terminal Doppler Weather Radar (TDWR) system which has been developed by Raytheon Co. for the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA), provides automatic detection of microbursts and low-altitude wind shear. Microburst- and gust front-induced wind shear can result in a sudden, large change in airspeed which can have disastrous effect on aircraft performance. during take off or landing. The second major function of TDWR is to improve air traffic management through forecasts of wind shifts, precipitation and other weather hazards. The TDWR system generates Doppler velocity, reflectivity, and spectrum width data. The base data are automatically dealiased and clutter is removed through filtering and mapping. Precipitation and windshear products, such as microbursts and gust fronts, are displayed as graphic products on the Geographic Situation Display which is intended for use by Air Traffic Control supervisors. Alphanumeric messages indicating the various windshear alerts and derived airspeed losses and gains are sent to a flat panel ribbon display which is used by the controllers in the control tower. The TDWR proof-of-concept and operational feasibility have been demonstrated in a number of FAA-sponsored tests and evaluations conducted by Massachusetts Institute of Technology's Lincoln Laboratory (MIT/LL) in Memphis, TN (1985); Huntsville, AL (1986); Denver, CO (1987, 1988); Kansas City, MO (1989, and Orlando, FL (1990-1992). In order to verify that the TDWR meets FAA operational suitability and effectiveness requirements, an Operational Test & Evaluations (OT&E) was conducted at the Oklahoma City site during the period from 24 August to 30 October 1992. The testing addressed National Airspace System (NAS)-SS-1000 requirements, weather detection performance, safety, operational system performance, maintenance, instruction books, Remote Maintenance Monitoring System (RMMS), system adaptable parameters, bullgear wear, and limited Air Traffic (AT) suitability. The TDWR OT&E Integration and Operational testing was conducted using a variety of methods dependent on the area being tested. This paper discusses primarily the weather detection performance testing. A rough analysis was performed on the algorithm output and the base data to determine the performance of the TDWR in detecting wind shear phenomena. Final results will be available after additional testing, which is scheduled for Spring of 1993, and post analysis in conducted.
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Summary

The Terminal Doppler Weather Radar (TDWR) system which has been developed by Raytheon Co. for the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA), provides automatic detection of microbursts and low-altitude wind shear. Microburst- and gust front-induced wind shear can result in a sudden, large change in airspeed which can have disastrous effect on...

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Real-time multiple single Doppler analysis with NEXRAD data

Published in:
26th Int. Conf. on Radar Meteorology, 24-28 May 1993, pp. 460-462.

Summary

As part of the Aviation Weather Development Program of the Federal Aviation Administration, a high resolution winds analysis system was demonstrated at Orlando International Airport (MCO) in the summer of 1992. The purpose of this demonstration was to illustrate the winds analysis capability possible from operational sensors in the mid '90s. An important part of the design of this system was the development of a procedure for the assimilation of Doppler data from multiple radars. This procedure had to be able to automatically handle regions with missing data from one or more radars, as well as avoid baseline instability. The two operational radars scanning the analysis region were the National Weather Service WSR-88D (NEXRAD) radar located approximately 65 km east and slightly south of MCO, and the MIT prototype Terminal Doppler Weather Radar (TDWR) located 7 km due south of the airport. The base data from these two Doppler radars were the major information component for the analysis system. Our system includes the most recent improvements in the winds analysis portion of the Local Analysis and Prediction System (LAPS) developed by the Forecast Systems Laboratory (McGinely et al., 1991). LAPS is designed to run locally on systems affordable for operational weather offices and takes advantages of all sources of local data at the highest possible resolution. Our implementation for the airport terminal region id called the Terminal-area LAPS (T-LAPS). LAPS formerly had a technique for the assimilation of data from a single Doppler radar. We have modified that technique for the assimilation of data from the two available radars. Our approach, using a Multiple Single Doppler Analysis (MSDA) technique, is more suited for unsupervised operational analysis than traditional Dual Doppler Analysis (DDA), because it is able to handle such problems as incomplete data and baseline instability. We will describe the T-LAPS analysis, with particular attention to our implementation of ASDA, and give some examples from our demonstration.
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Summary

As part of the Aviation Weather Development Program of the Federal Aviation Administration, a high resolution winds analysis system was demonstrated at Orlando International Airport (MCO) in the summer of 1992. The purpose of this demonstration was to illustrate the winds analysis capability possible from operational sensors in the mid...

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The Memphis Precision Runway Monitor Program Instrument Landing System final approach study

Published in:
MIT Lincoln Laboratory Report ATC-194

Summary

This report documents the study of the lateral positions of aircraft on Instrument Landing System (ILS) approaches during the Memphis, Tennessee, Precision Runway Monitor (PRM) demonstration. The PRM is an advanced radar monitoring system that improved the arrival capacity of closely spaced parallel runways in poor weather conditions. The results of this study are used to assist in determining the minimum runway spacing that will he authorized for PRM. The objective of this study was to quantify the lateral character of ILS arrivals and the consequent impact on independent simultaneous ILS arrival to closely spaced parallel runways. The sensitivity of the arriving aircrafts' lateral positions to different variables such as visibility, wind runway, aircraft type, autopilot performance, and localizer beam width was determined. Also, the Memphis arrival data were compared to FAA Technical Center Chicago O'Hare approach data. The analysis was primarily based on surveillance reports of 4,000 ILS arrivals into Memphis International Airport, collected with the PRM AMPS sensor (ATCRBS Monopulse Processing System). A major result of the study was that lateral aircraft positions will not hamper independent arrivals to parallel runways spaced 3,400 feet apart, but will impede operations at 3,000 feet or smaller unless approach modifications are introduced. Lateral deviations were found to be most sensitive to reduced visibility and certain autopilots. Lateral deviations were also found to be somewhat more at Memphis relative to Chicago O'Hare. Recommendations for further data analysis and collection are discussed.
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Summary

This report documents the study of the lateral positions of aircraft on Instrument Landing System (ILS) approaches during the Memphis, Tennessee, Precision Runway Monitor (PRM) demonstration. The PRM is an advanced radar monitoring system that improved the arrival capacity of closely spaced parallel runways in poor weather conditions. The results...

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GLONASS performance in 1992: a review

Published in:
GPS World, Vol. 4, No. 5, May 1993, pp. 28-39.

Summary

Researchers at MIT's Lincoln Laboratory reviewed GLONASS developments during 1992, focusing on the requirements of civil aviation and the issues related to position estimation. The results show that the overall performance remains substantially the same as observed in 1991.
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Summary

Researchers at MIT's Lincoln Laboratory reviewed GLONASS developments during 1992, focusing on the requirements of civil aviation and the issues related to position estimation. The results show that the overall performance remains substantially the same as observed in 1991.

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Optimal mean velocity estimation for Doppler weather radars

Published in:
IEEE Trans. Geosci. Remote Sens., Vol. 31, No. 3, May 1993, pp. 575-586.

Summary

Optimal Doppler velocity estimation is explored for a standard Gaussian signal measurement model and thematic maximum likelihood (ML) and Bayes estimation. Because the model considered depends on a vector parameter (velocity, spectrum width (SW), and signal-to-noise ratio (SNR), the exact formulation of an ML or Bayes solution involves a system of coupled equations which cannot be made explicit for any of the parameters. In the past, iterative methods have been suggested for solving the required equations. In addition to being computationally intensive, it is unclear whether an iterative method can be constructed to converge well under general conditions. Simple computational forms are shown to exist when SW and SNR are assumed known. An information theoretic concept is used to propose an adaptive extension of these equations to the general case of SW and SNR unknown. This new idea is developed to the poise of operational application. A Monte Carlo simulations experiment is used to verify that the method can work; the example presented considers the particularly difficult situation of no a priori information for either SW or SNR under the additional constraint of a very small (20 pulse samples) sample size. The improved performance of this new Doppler velocity estimator is documented by comparison with derived optimal bounds and with the performance of the well-known pulse pair (PP) method. Small-sample estimator statistics are presented; and Bayes estimator results, assuming known SW and SNR, are used to provide true performance bounds for comparison. Cramer-Rao (CR) bounds are also derived and shown to be inferior to the Bayes bounds in the small sample case considered.
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Summary

Optimal Doppler velocity estimation is explored for a standard Gaussian signal measurement model and thematic maximum likelihood (ML) and Bayes estimation. Because the model considered depends on a vector parameter (velocity, spectrum width (SW), and signal-to-noise ratio (SNR), the exact formulation of an ML or Bayes solution involves a system...

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Automatic language identification using Gaussian mixture and hidden Markov models

Author:
Published in:
Proc. IEEE Int. Conf. on Acoustics, Speech and Signal Processing, Vol. 2, Speech Processing, ICASSP, 27-30 April 1993, pp. 399-402.

Summary

Ergodic, continuous-observation, hidden Markov models (HMMs) were used to perform automatic language classification and detection of speech messages. State observation probability densities were modeled as tied Gaussian mixtures. The algorithm was evaluated on four multilanguage speech databases: a three language subset of the Spoken Language Library, a three language subset of a five language Rome Laboratory database, the 20 language CCITT database, and the ten language OGI telephone speech database. Generally, performance of a single state HMM (i.e. a static Gaussian mixture classifier) was comparable to the multistate HMMs, indicating that the sequential modeling capabilities of HMMs were not exploited.
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Summary

Ergodic, continuous-observation, hidden Markov models (HMMs) were used to perform automatic language classification and detection of speech messages. State observation probability densities were modeled as tied Gaussian mixtures. The algorithm was evaluated on four multilanguage speech databases: a three language subset of the Spoken Language Library, a three language subset...

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Detection of transient signals using the energy operator

Published in:
Proc. IEEE Int. Conf. on Acoustics, Speech and Signal Processing, Vol. 3, ICASSP, 27-30 April 1993, pp. 145-148.

Summary

A function of the Teager-Kaiser energy operator is introduced as a method for detecting transient signals in the presence of amplitude-modulated and frequency-modulated tonal interference. This function has excellent time resolution and is robust in the presence of white noise. The output of the detection function is also independent of the interference-to-transient ratio when that ratio is large. It is demonstrated that the detection function can be applied to interference signals with multiple amplitude-modulated and frequency-modulated tonal components.
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Summary

A function of the Teager-Kaiser energy operator is introduced as a method for detecting transient signals in the presence of amplitude-modulated and frequency-modulated tonal interference. This function has excellent time resolution and is robust in the presence of white noise. The output of the detection function is also independent of...

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Time-scale modification of complex acoustic signals

Published in:
Proc. IEEE Int. Conf. on Acoustics, Speech and Signal Processing, ICASSP, Vol. 1, Plenary, Special, Audio, Underwater Acoustics, VLSI, Neural Networks, 27-30 April 1993, pp. 213-216.

Summary

A new approach is introduced for time-scale modification of short-duration complex acoustic signals to improve their audibility. The technique constrains the modified signal to take on a specified spectral characteristic while imposing a time-scaled version of the original temporal envelope. Both full-band and sub-band representations of the temporal envelope are considered. In the full-band case, the modified signal is obtained by appropriate selection of its Fourier transform phase. In the sub-band case, using locations of maxima in the sub-band temporal envelopes, the phase of each bandpass signal is formed to preserve "events" in the envelope of the composite signal. The approach is applied to synthetic and actual short-duration acoustic signals consisting of closely-spaced and overlapping sequential time components.
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Summary

A new approach is introduced for time-scale modification of short-duration complex acoustic signals to improve their audibility. The technique constrains the modified signal to take on a specified spectral characteristic while imposing a time-scaled version of the original temporal envelope. Both full-band and sub-band representations of the temporal envelope are...

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