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Development of automated aviation weather products for ocean/remote regions: scientific and practical challenges, research strategies, and first steps

Published in:
10th Conf. on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology, 13-16 May 2002, pp. 57-60.

Summary

From the common and recognizable occurrence of convection, to the sporadic and far less visible reach of volcanic ash, meteorological phenomena impose diverse challenges to the efficiency, economic viability, and safety of flight operations across the global oceans. Those challenges are compounded by special difficulties associated with nowcasting and forecasting for remote areas, such as expansive voids in surface observations and soundings, large forecast domains, communications difficulties, and long-duration flights often needing significant forecast updates. Conspicuously lacking over oceans are the observational capabilities that provide key information about the internal structure of convection - notably radar and lightning detection systems. The long-term oceanic weather development program (OW) outlined here seeks to use improved understanding of the phenomenology of oceanic weather hazards along with new observations, model information and processing tools to fashion automated forecast/briefing products supporting remote oceanic routes. A parallel OW objective (outlined by Lindholm and Bums, 2002, this conference volume) supports in-flight product transfer to the cockpit. Established in March, 2001, the OW program is still in its infancy. Thus, we concentrate here upon strategy and the scientific basis for our plans. Although our work has begun with a focus on low and middle latitudes (Pacific, Atlantic and Gulf of Mexico regions), increasing use of polar routes is likely to raise the priority for products tailored to high latitude regions over the next several years.
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Summary

From the common and recognizable occurrence of convection, to the sporadic and far less visible reach of volcanic ash, meteorological phenomena impose diverse challenges to the efficiency, economic viability, and safety of flight operations across the global oceans. Those challenges are compounded by special difficulties associated with nowcasting and forecasting...

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Enhancement to Terminal Doppler Weather Radar to improve aviation weather services

Published in:
10th Conf. on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology, 13-16 May 2002, pp. 28-31.

Summary

This paper has described work underway to enhance the TDWRs capability to provide wind shear detection services in challenging conditions, and to provide a flexible platform with COTS hardware that would support future improvements. A Radar Data Acquisition (RDA) system retrofit will upgrade the transmitter, receiver and digital signal processing subsystems of the radar to improve the quality of the reflectivity and Doppler imagery generated by the system and to extend its instrumented range. Algorithms have been described for achieving improved rejection of ground clutter and range-folded weather echoes, and reduction of Doppler velocity aliasing. An open COTS-based processing architecture was presented for the TDWR RDA retrofit, and a test program was outlined that is commencing in Oklahoma in the spring of 2002.
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Summary

This paper has described work underway to enhance the TDWRs capability to provide wind shear detection services in challenging conditions, and to provide a flexible platform with COTS hardware that would support future improvements. A Radar Data Acquisition (RDA) system retrofit will upgrade the transmitter, receiver and digital signal processing...

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En route weather depiction benefits of the NEXRAD vertically integrated liquid water product utilized by the Corridor Integrated Weather System

Published in:
10th Conf. on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology, 13-16 May 2002, pp. 120-123.

Summary

It is demonstrated in this paper that weather depictions in an operational environment based upon VIL provide more meaningful information for en route traffic routing than a BREF product. VIL precipitation proves advantageous in limiting contamination from Anomalous Propagation (AP) ground clutter, biological targets (e.g., birds and insects), and radar artifacts. The extended vertical coverage of VIL sampling also better depicts storm cells as they first develop, further assisting traffic managers achieve more efficient use of tactical airspace when weather occurs unexpectedly.
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Summary

It is demonstrated in this paper that weather depictions in an operational environment based upon VIL provide more meaningful information for en route traffic routing than a BREF product. VIL precipitation proves advantageous in limiting contamination from Anomalous Propagation (AP) ground clutter, biological targets (e.g., birds and insects), and radar...

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Low altitude boyancy wave turbulence - a potential aviation safety threat

Published in:
10th Conf. on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology, 13-16 May 2002, pp. 375-378.

Summary

Weather comprises one of the most significant safety hazards facing civilian aviation today. This hazard has been significantly reduced by the development and use of microburst wind shear detection technologies such as the Low Level Wind Shear Alert System (LLWAS), the Terminal Doppler Weather Radar (TDWR), the ASR-9 Weather Systems Processor (WSP) and the Integrated Terminal Weather System (ITWS). Each was designed to detect and warn for the presence of low altitude wind shear resulting from microburst and gust fronts. These systems have made an unquestionable improvement in aviation safety; however, there are other forms of low altitude wind shear hazardous to aviation. This paper provides a description of a low altitude buoyancy wave (BW) induced turbulence phenomena that appears to also be a significant hazard to aviation. Buoyancy wave turbulence can be particularly dangerous since it often occurs outside regions containing intense precipitation where pilots typically expect to encounter thunderstorm induced wind shear conditions. Section 2 of this paper contains a general description of BW phenomena based on laboratory and observational studies. Section 3 will briefly summarize several incidents where commercial and civilian aircraft have encountered buoyancy waved induced turbulence. A summary and conclusions are made in section 4.
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Summary

Weather comprises one of the most significant safety hazards facing civilian aviation today. This hazard has been significantly reduced by the development and use of microburst wind shear detection technologies such as the Low Level Wind Shear Alert System (LLWAS), the Terminal Doppler Weather Radar (TDWR), the ASR-9 Weather Systems...

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Forecasting convective weather using multi-scale detectors and weather Classification - enhancements to the MIT Lincoln Laboratory Terminal Weather Forecast

Published in:
10th Conf. on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology, 13-16 May 2002, pp. 132-135.

Summary

Over the past decade the United States has seen drastic increases in air traffic delays resulting in enormous economic loses. Analysis shows that more then 50% of air traffic delays are due to convective weather. In response the FAA has assembled scientific and engineering teams from MIT Lincoln Laboratory, NCAR. NSSL, FSL and several universities to develop convective weather forecast systems to aid air traffic managers in delay reduction. A user-needs study conducted by Lincoln Laboratory identified that a major source of air traffic delay was due to line thunderstorms (Forman et al., 1999). Recognizing that the line storm envelope motion was distinct from the local cell motion was the impetus for developing the Growth and Decay Storm Tracker' (Wolfson et al., 1999). The algorithm produces forecasts by extracting large-scale features from two dimensional precipitation images. These images are tracked, using either correlation techniques (Terminal Convective Weather Forecast or TCWF) or centroid techniques (National Convective Weather Forecast or NCWF). In TCWF, the track vector field is used to advect the current precipitation images formed to produce a series of forecasts into minute increments up to 60 minutes. The TCWF forecasts are highly skilled for large scale persistent line storms. However, detailed performance analysis of the algorithm has shown that in cases dominated by airmass storms, the algorithm occasionally performed poorly (Theriault et al., 2001). In this paper we describe the sources of error discovered in the TCWF algorithm during the Memphis 2000 performance evaluation, and describe recent enhancements designed to address these problems.
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Summary

Over the past decade the United States has seen drastic increases in air traffic delays resulting in enormous economic loses. Analysis shows that more then 50% of air traffic delays are due to convective weather. In response the FAA has assembled scientific and engineering teams from MIT Lincoln Laboratory, NCAR...

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Operational Experience with TDWR/LLWAS-NE Integration at the Dallas, TX International Airport (DFW)

Published in:
10th Conf. on Aviation, Range and Aerospace Meteorology, 13-16 May 2002, pp. 391-394.

Summary

At nine major airports, both the Terminal Doppler Weather Radar (TDWR) and Network Extension of the Low-Level Wind shear Advisory System (LLWAS-NE) data will be used to detect and warn Air Traffic Control (ATC) of dangerous wind shear conditions. The integration of wind shear alerts from the two systems is currently being carried out by the TDWR software and will be accomplished by Integrated Terminal Weather System (ITWS) software when the ITWS is installed at these airports. Previous studies of the performance of the TDWR/LLWAS-NE integrated system were carried out at Denver, CO, Dallas, and Orlando, FL. Additionally, there have been recent concerns about false alarms with the LLWAS-NE. In this study, we examine the performance of the integrated system at Dallas-Ft. Worth International Airport (DFW) over a 6-month period in 2000 with particular emphasis on integrated wind shear alerts produced during a number of cases where the TDWR had difficulty making detections due to: 1. radially aligned gust fronts over DFW, 2. radially aligned divergent features, divergence behind gust fronts and divergence embedded within gravity waves, and/or 3. TDWR radome attenuation or excessively aggressive clutter residue editing. DFW is a particularly good airport for such a study because there is an additional TDWR [for Dallas Love airport (DAL)] located in close proximity to DFW and situated in such a way that it provides a very good viewing angle for wind shear events that may not be well characterized by the DFW TDWR radial velocity data. DFW is also an ITWS demonstration system test site with trained meteorologists who review the wind shear detection performance after all convective weather events at DFW.
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Summary

At nine major airports, both the Terminal Doppler Weather Radar (TDWR) and Network Extension of the Low-Level Wind shear Advisory System (LLWAS-NE) data will be used to detect and warn Air Traffic Control (ATC) of dangerous wind shear conditions. The integration of wind shear alerts from the two systems is...

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Using ORPG to enhance NEXRAD products to support FAA critical systems

Published in:
10th Conf. on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology, 13-16 May 2002, pp. 77-80.

Summary

The initial release of a new operational open architecture is currently being phased into the national WSR-88D (NEXRAD) radar network. This new Common Operations and Development Environment (CODE) includes the Open Radar Product Generator (ORPG) that replaces the existing NEXRAD Radar Product Generator. The new ORPG includes all the algorithms of the RPG it replaces. Future algorithms designed for use within NEXRAD also will be processed by the ORPG. CODE can also be used in a research capacity to significantly enhance the process of ORPG meteorological algorithm development. When used independently of a NEXRAD installation, CODE/ORPG provides multiple playback options for accessing real-time base data streams. This allows development and testing of new algorithms under the same environment an algorithm would encounter in an operational setting. This establishes a flow relationship from algorithm development through operational implementation within the common environment of CODE/ORPG. A six-month Build cycle for future CODE/ORPG releases has been established. An algorithm developed in a research CODE/ORPG capacity has an opportunity, at six-month intervals, to garner agency approval and undergo final preparation for operational release. The NEXRAD Radar Operations Center (ROC) needs about eight months preparation time from algorithm submission until release of the next CODE/ORPG version. For instance. Build 2 is to be released September 30. 2002. Algorithms for Build 2 inclusion had to be submitted by January 31, 2002. It will take about three months after the release for the entire NEXRAD network to be updated. The deadline for Build 3 submission is in July 2002 with a release date set in March 2003. Multiple Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) critical systems rely on products from NEXRAD algorithms. These projects include ITWS (Integrated Airport Weather System), WARP (Weather and Radar Processing), and ClWS (Corridor Integrated Weather System). Some of the NEXRAD products used include severe storm information, composite reflectivity factor depictions, and velocity data. In this paper, we discuss new algorithms and modifications to existing algorithms earmarked for the first few releases of the CODE/ORPG that produce products of importance to these FAA systems. They include modifications to the existing Anomalous Propagation Edited Composite Reflectivity algorithm released during Build 1 upgrades, a new high resolution, digital VIL (Vertically Integrated Liquid) algorithm slated for Build 2, and a Data Quality Assurance algorithm anticipated for Build 3.
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Summary

The initial release of a new operational open architecture is currently being phased into the national WSR-88D (NEXRAD) radar network. This new Common Operations and Development Environment (CODE) includes the Open Radar Product Generator (ORPG) that replaces the existing NEXRAD Radar Product Generator. The new ORPG includes all the algorithms...

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An overview of automatic speaker recognition technology

Published in:
Proc. IEEE Int. Conf. on Acoustics, Speech and Signal Processing, ICASSP, Vol. IV, 13-17 May 2002, pp. IV-4072 - IV-4075.

Summary

In this paper we provide a brief overview of the area of speaker recognition, describing applications, underlying techniques and some indications, of performance. Following this overview we will discuss some of the strengths and weaknesses of current speaker recognition technologies and outline some potential future trends in research, development and applications conducting other speech interactions (background verification). As speaker and speech recognition system merge and speech recognition accuracy improves, the distinction between text- independent and -dependent applications will decrease. Of the two basic tasks, text-dependent speaker verification is currently
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Summary

In this paper we provide a brief overview of the area of speaker recognition, describing applications, underlying techniques and some indications, of performance. Following this overview we will discuss some of the strengths and weaknesses of current speaker recognition technologies and outline some potential future trends in research, development and...

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Speaker verification using text-constrained Gaussian mixture models

Published in:
Proc. IEEE Int. Conf. on Acoustics, Speech and Signal Processing, ICASSP, Vol. I, 13-17 May 2002, pp. I-677 - I-680.

Summary

In this paper we present an approach to close the gap between text-dependent and text-independent speaker verification performance. Text-constrained GMM-UBM systems are created using word segmentations produced by a LVCSR system on conversational speech allowing the system to focus on speaker differences over a constrained set of acoustic units. Results on the 2001 NiST extended data task show this approach can be used to produce an equal error rate of < 1%.
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Summary

In this paper we present an approach to close the gap between text-dependent and text-independent speaker verification performance. Text-constrained GMM-UBM systems are created using word segmentations produced by a LVCSR system on conversational speech allowing the system to focus on speaker differences over a constrained set of acoustic units. Results...

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Speaker detection and tracking for telephone transactions

Published in:
Proc. IEEE Int. Conf. on Acoustics, Speech, and Signal Processing, ICASSP, 13-17 May 2002, pp. 129-132.

Summary

As ever greater numbers of telephone transactions are being conducted solely between a caller and an automated answering system, the need increases for software which can automatically identify and authenticate these callers without the need for an onerous speaker enrollment process. In this paper we introduce and investigate a novel speaker detection and tracking (SDT) technique, which dynamically merges the traditional enrollment and recognition phases of the static speaker recognition task. In this speaker recognition application, no prior speaker models exist and the goal is to detect and model new speakers as they call into the system while also recognizing utterances from the previously modeled callers. New speakers are added to the enrolled set of speakers and speech from speakers in the currently enrolled set is used to update models. We describe a system based on a GMM speaker identification (SID) system and develop a new measure to evaluate the performance of the system on the SDT task. Results for both static, open-set detection and the SDT task are presented using a portion of the Switchboard corpus of telephone speech communications. Static open-set detection produces an equal error rate of about 5%. As expected, performance for SDT is quite varied, depending greatly on the speaker set and ordering of the test sequence. These initial results, however, are quite promising and point to potential areas in which to improve the system performance.
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Summary

As ever greater numbers of telephone transactions are being conducted solely between a caller and an automated answering system, the need increases for software which can automatically identify and authenticate these callers without the need for an onerous speaker enrollment process. In this paper we introduce and investigate a novel...

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